October 12, 2008

You want to know why I'm not discouraged?

This is why I'm not discouraged:

Report Acknowledges Inaccuracies in 2004 Exit Polls

By Richard Morin and Claudia Deane
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, January 20, 2005; Page A06

Interviewing for the 2004 exit polls was the most inaccurate of any in the past five presidential elections as procedural problems compounded by the refusal of large numbers of Republican voters to be surveyed led to inflated estimates of support for John F. Kerry, according to a report released yesterday by the research firms responsible for the flawed surveys.

Those damn Republicans, remembering that it's a private ballot. Ignoring the pollsters' First Amendment right to bother people fulfilling their civic duty, or else the news will have to find something else to yammer about all day and night. Fascists!

Apparently I'm the only one who remembers the coverage on Election Day '04. "Kerry wins! Kerry wins! It's all over for the Chimperor!" But then... not so much. You could see the newscasters' faces getting longer and longer as the evening drew to a close. Judy Woodruff was particularly hard-hit.

Does that mean I can guarantee the polls are wrong this time? That the pundits are as recto-cranially inverted as they were four years ago? Of course not. But I'm taking them with a grain of salt bigger than David Axelrod's forehead. The louder the Obamabots tell me it's all over, the more desperate they sound.

Uh-oh. Skepticism is racist.

Well, if I'm wrong, I hope I can be half as gracious in defeat as the other guys were last time.

Posted by Jim Treacher at October 12, 2008 08:02 PM